The pro-independence parties would consolidate their majority in the Catalan Parliament if the election was held today, according to a survey by the Catalan government's CEO (Centre for Opinion Studies), which also foresees a general stagnation for the pro-union bloc.
Junts pel Sí (Together for Yes) would win 60 to 63 seats, the top end being one more than in the last elections on 27th September 2015. CUP (Popular Unity Candidacy), meanwhile, would obtain 8 or 9, the higher being one less than they have now. At the low end of both values, they still total 68 seats, a majority of the chamber.
The other parties see little variation in their results, namely slight increases except for PP (Popular Party). Cs (Citizens) would win 25 or 26 seats, either 1 more or the same as they have now; PSC (Socialists' Party of Catalonia) will rise from 16 currently to between 17 and 19; CSQP (Catalonia Yes We Can) would go from 11 to 12-14 whilst PP would stay the same (11) or lose 1.
The survey, the third of 2017, was carried out between 16th and 29th October, in other words, 15 days after the 1st October referendum up to two days after the proclamation of the Catalan Republic on 27th October. The 27th also saw the Spanish government dissolve the Catalan Parliament and call elections for the 21st December as part of the application of article 155 of the Spanish Constitution. The previous CEO survey, the second of the year, was carried out in June.
Compared with the last one, Junts pel Sí has the same range of number of seats (60-63) and CUP has made gains, from 6-8 to 8-9. Cs have also seen gains, from 20-22 last time, to 25-26 this. PSC, who were given 17-20 last time this time saw their top end constricted to 19. CSQP, meanwhile, saw their hopes lowered, from 15-17 to 12-14 seats, as also happened to PP, who went from 11-13 to 10-11.